As soon as Apple’s Mini was announced with a price tag
of $329, many journalists and bloggers started criticizing the price of this
new, smaller iPad. They did so because there were rumors that it might be as low
as $249 — they also hoped that it would at least be $299 or less. They believed
that at a lower price it could take on tablets that are $199 or less, and that
an all-out tablet war would erupt.
When it was finally known that Apple came in a bit higher in price, it
actually started clearing up a lot of confusion with consumers. In fact, Amazon
said that immediately its orders increased for the Fire HD, which is priced at
$199. Now consumers know that they have one class of mini tablets under $200 and
a more upscale version from Apple at $329.
Personally, I was not surprised by Apple’s pricing. In fact, if you have
followed much of Apple’s history, you know that Apple often prices its first
generation of a product at somewhat of a premium, and over time rides the
pricing curve down. When the iPod first came out, the five-gigabyte model cost
$399. Now look at iPod prices.
It seems that a lot of the media don’t really understand the economics of
Apple products, which almost always has them expecting Apple’s products to be
priced closer to its competition. But while Apple is very aware of its
competition, the company’s goal is to create the best product in its class, even
if it has to be priced higher at first.
The higher starting price for new Apple products is really an economic one.
Apple is quite unique from most vendors since to manufacture its products, it
sometimes has to actually invent the machines and manufacturing processes
itself. This is in stark contrast to almost all competitors, who either take
products from an ODM (original design manufacturer) that uses existing
manufacturing equipment to make them, or use off-the-shelf products and rebrand
them as their own.
If you look closely at Apple’s product designs, you will always see sleek
lines, beautiful curves and no space between seams. That delivers seamless
integration in the hardware itself. In many instances, Apple has to actually
invent the manufacturing methods to deliver such precisely designed products.
That means added cost to the product at first. In essence, Apple has to build
these extra manufacturing costs into first generation devices. Then over time,
Apple either adds more features for the same price, or like the iPod, it
eventually gets to an economy of scale, which brings the prices down.
Apple knows full well that at first, the iPad Mini will attract what we call
early adopters. But this time, Apple expects to see more first time tablet
buyers purchasing iPad Minis, too. And the number of iPad Minis Apple sells in
the first 6-12 months will determine how fast it can drive the prices down on
this product. Given what Apple did with the iPad 2 as well as iPods, I would not
be surprised to see this same product priced around $$270-$299 when the next
generation comes out.
Of course, competitors will use a similar model. A company like Amazon will
most likely price the next Kindle Fire around $149-$159 if it, too, can drive
down the costs of manufacturing and bill of materials (BOM). Amazon basically
sells the Kindle Fire HD at cost and makes money on the services purchased
through their tablet, so the company especially has some wiggle room with its
pricing.
So how important is the iPad Mini to Apple’s tablet strategy? And even at
this price, will it be successful?
At the strategic level, it is quite important for a couple of reasons. The
most obvious one is that it gives Apple a competitive product in the 7-inch
tablet space – a space that is getting a lot of interest from consumers. And it
allows Apple to emphasize that the iPad Mini is a great consumption device that
is an ideal size for reading books, watching movies and TV and listening to
music. It works really well as a highly mobile web browsing device, too.
But I see it as being strategic for another reason. I believe that the iPad
Mini is a core building block in Apple’s future TV plans. In fact, if you have
an iPad Mini or get to see it in a store, you are probably holding the eventual
remote control for Apple’s. If you already have an iPad, you kind of
know that it’s a great mobile device for accessing TV Guide and program guides
for Comcast, AT&T or Time Warner cable while sitting on the couch. Or using
IMDb to check out the history of the movie you are watching, or to search Google
or Wikipedia for that actor you’re interested in at that moment.
Interestingly, a recent survey shows that well over 70% of iPad owners use
them when sitting in front of the TV. But in the future, besides being a TV
controller, Apple could do deals with Hollywood that also tie in key info about
the show you are watching. Or when watching a commercial, you could be sent a
coupon for that product with the touch of a button. My point is that today’s
remotes are worthless in an interactive TV environment, and an iPad Mini tied
intricately to Apple’s TV product, what ever it ends up being, could be quite
compelling.
I believe the iPad Mini is also strategic because with it, Apple adds another
key screen to its line of products. It is my belief that in the future, all of
us that we use to access all
of our “stuff” that’s in the cloud. And the screen we have closest to us at the
time we need our stuff becomes the most important to us. With the iPad Mini,
Apple adds a most portable, but highly readable screen to its line up. And Apple
has the broadest range of screens available to users, from the iPod Nano to the
iPod Touch to iPhones, iPads and iMacs, giving the company more available
interconnected screens than any of its competitors.
Although the iPad Mini is priced higher than competitors, it is the gold
standard in mini tablets today. And while a lot of people will want lower priced
tablets, there is a very large group of people who can afford these prices today
— as well as many others who will scrape enough money together to buy them, too.
These are folks that want to tap into the rich ecosystem Apple already has, as
well as the design aesthetics that make Apple products “cool.” We at Creative
Strategies believe that Apple will sell at least five million iPad Minis in
November and five million in December, which, along with record iPhone sales,
will help Apple have its best quarter ever.
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